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Provisional Timeline/Agenda

 

Tuesday, 6 June 2006

08.00 - 08.30 Registration
08.30 - 9.15 Welcome
  • Stan Wilson, on behalf of the Steering Committee Co-Chairs
  • Patricio Bernal, IOC Executive Secretary
  • Ann Henderson-Sellers, Director, World Climate Research Program
  • Thomas Rosswall, Executive Director, International Council for Science
  • John Church, on behalf of the Steering Committee Co-Chairs
  • Thorkild Aarup, Local Organizing Committee
09.15-12.45

Introduction and Overview

  • Kurt Lambeck, "Paleo- and 20th Century Sea-level Variations" (25 mn)
  • Anny Cazenave, "Present Day Sea-level Rise:  Assessment and Key Uncertainties" (25 mn)
  • Konrad Steffen, "Current Cryospheric Contributions to Sea-level Rise and Variability" (25 mn)
10.45 Break
  • Jonathan Gregory, "Current Projections and Key Uncertainties" (25 mn)
  • Robert Nicholls, "Assessing Potential Impacts and Responses to Sea-level Rise" (25 mn)
  • Ralph Rayner, "Assessing the Economic Impact of Uncertainties in Sea-level Rise Projections on Key Industry Sectors" (25 mn)
12.45 - 14.00 Lunch on site with Poster Session
14.00-18.00

What Have We Learned From the Paleo/Historical Records?
Session Chair:  Kurt Lambeck - Rapporteur:  Colin Woodroffe

  • Jacques-Louis Laborel, “Continuous or Discontinuous: How Field  Data on Holocene Sea Level May Help Understand the Future” (20 mn)
  • Marco Anzidei, "Archaeological Indicators of Sea-level Change in the Recent Millenia: Examples From the Mediterranean" (15 mn)
  • Alex Wright, "1500-yr-long sea-level reconstructions from North Carolina to Newfoundland" (15 mn)

Discussion

15.45 Break

20th Century Sea-level Rise and Variability Estimates From Tide Gauges and Altimeters
Session Chair:  Mark Merrifield and Gary Mitchum - Rapporteur:  Simon Holgate

  • Gary Mitchum, “Overview” (20 mn)
  • Mark Merrifield, “Estimates from Tide Gauges” (20 mn)
  • Steve Nerem, “Estimates from Altimeters” (20 mn)

Discussion

18.00 Reception with Poster Session - Outside Room XII

Wednesday, 7 June 2006

08.30 - 12.00

Ocean Thermal Expansion
Session Chair:  Anny Cazenave and John Church - Rapporteur:  Pierre-Yves LeTraon             

  • Dean Roemmich, “Synthesis of Recent Progress” (25 mn)
  • Detlef Stammer, "Synthesis of steric rise estimates from ocean
    reanalysis" (15 mn)
  • Don Chambers, “The Potential to Estimate Ocean Thermal Expansion by Combining GRACE and Satellite Altimeter Data” (15 mn)
10.15 Break
  • Jochem Marotzke, “Review of Modeling Ocean Steric Rise” (15 mn)
  • Tatsuo Suzuki, “Review High Resolution Modeling of Thermal Expansion” (15 mn)

Discussion

12.00 - 13.30 Lunch on site with Poster Session
13.30 - 17.15

Contributions from the Cryosphere to Sea-level Change
Session Chair:  Robert Thomas, Koni Steffen, Mark Dyurgerov, Philippe Huybrechts
-
Rapporteur:  Edward Hanna

  • Graham Cogley and Mark Dyurgerov, “Small Glaciers: Uncertainties, Measurements, Potential Improvements” (30 mn)
  • Robert Thomas, “Polar Ice Sheets and Ice Shelves:  Measurement, Uncertainties and Potential Improvements” (30 mn)
14.35 Break
  • Eric Rignot, “Ice Sheets and Glaciers, Recent and Ongoing Rapid Changes” (20 mn)
  • Philippe Huybrechts, “Ice Sheet Modeling:  Current Status and Needed Improvements” (20 mn)
  • Sarah Raper, “Glacier Modeling: Current Status and Needed Improvements” (20 mn)

Discussion

17.15 Poster Session

Thursday, 8 June 2006

08.30 - 12.00

Terrestrial Water Storage
Session Chair:  Anny Cazenave - Rapporteur:  Chris Milly

  • Katia Laval, “Model Results (and Associated Uncertainties) of Change in Land Water Storage and Effects on Sea-level” (20 mn)
  • John Wahr, “GRACE Results in Land Hydrology, Current Limitations and Potential for the Future” (20 mn)
  • D. Sahagian, “Terrestrial Water Storage Change Due to Human Activities” (20 mn)

Discussion

10.30 Break
Poster Session
12.00-13.30 Lunch on site with Poster Session
13.30 - 17.50

Geodetic Observation and the Precise Reference System for Global and Regional Sea-level Measurements
Session Chair:  Ruth Neilan - Rapporteur:  Paul Tregoning

  • Markus Rothacher, “Geodetic Observations: The Foundation for Assessing and Interrelating Sea-level Measurements and Uncertainties” (20 mn)
  • Geoff Blewitt, “Regional and Global Measurements, the Reference Frame for Understanding Observations” (15 mn)
  • Tilo Schoene, “Linking GPS to Tide Gauges and Tide Gauge Benchmarks” (15 mn)

Discussion

15.25 Break

Responses to Changes in Surface Mass Loading
Session Chair:  Jerry Mitrovica and Bert Vermeersen - Rapporteur:  Erick Ivins

  • Glenn Milne, “GIA Corrections to Tide Gauge and Altimeter Data” (25 mn)
  • Mark Tamisiea, “Sea-level Change Driven By Recent Cryospheric and Hydrological Mass Flux” (25 mn)

Discussion

17.50 Adjournment
19.00 Dinner on the boat "Le Calife" (details and map)

Friday, 9 June 2006

08.30 - 10.30

Past and Future Changes in Extreme Sea Levels and Waves
Session Chair:  Philip Woodworth and Jason Lowe - Rapporteur:  Kathleen McInnes           

  • Phil Woodworth, “Evidence for Changes in Extreme Sea Levels and Waves in the Recent Past” (15 mn)
  • Ruth McDonald, “Mid-latitude Storms / Simulated Changes in Atmospheric Drivers of Extreme Sea Levels” (15 mn)
  • Thomas Knutson, “Tropical Cyclone Intensities:  Recent Observation and Simulation Response to CO2-induced Climate Warming” (15 mn)
  • Jason Lowe, “Simulated Changes in Extreme Water Levels” (25 mn)

Discussion

10.30 Break
11.00 - 12.30

Summary, Integration and Next Steps
Session Chairs:  John Church, Phil Woodworth and Konrad Steffen

Summary
Review recommendations developed during each plenary session regarding research, technology development and sustained systematic observations.

Integration
Compare and contrast the observational and model estimates and their error bars from different disciplines to see if they add up.  Discuss global averages, regional patterns and the probabilities of projections. 

12.30 - 13.15 Lunch
13.15 - 14.15

Summary, Integration and Next Steps (continued)
Discuss recommendations and the key scientists, technologies and agencies to engage in next steps.  Should sea-level indices be produced?

Workshop Wrap-Up
Session Chair:  John Church
Discuss future meetings, workshop report/book and final comments
14.15

Adjournment

14.45

Steering Committee Meeting

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Catherine Michaut
Last update:
June 20, 2006